Pages

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Goldman Hiring: Traders Out. Risk Managers In.

By Stephen Grocer

Goldman’s revenue is off 14%, trading activity is down, advisory work remains muted and its prop traders are heading for the doors.

financialnews

That seems like a recipe for reduced headcount. Not at Goldman. Goldman has been busy hiring. Deal Journal colleague William Wright reports over at Financial News that Goldman has increased its headcount by 19%, or 5,600, in the past 18 months.

The hiring is not taking place in New York or on the investment banking side, though.

“Goldman Sachs said it was taking advantage of market dislocation to expand its operations in Asia and Europe, to build up in asset management, and to boost risk management.

“On a conference call with analysts and investors this week to discuss its third quarter earnings, chief financial officer David Viniar said a lot of the recent recruitment was related to the new regulatory environment for the industry with hundreds of staff hired “on the risk management and control side of the firm.’”

Goldman’s biggest expansion plans are for is asset management group, according to Wright.

“One analyst who covers the sector said Goldman Sachs has made a strategic decision to shift the balance of its business towards asset management. He said less-heavily regulated businesses, such as asset management, would command a higher valuation in future compared with businesses such as trading or investment banking. This is because revenues and earnings from asset management are less volatile than in trading or capital markets, and the business consumes less capital.

“Revenues at GSAM in the first nine months of this year increased by 3% to $2.94bn, only a few hundred million short of the $3.22bn in revenues at Goldman Sachs’ high-profile investment banking business.

“Over the past six years, the asset management division has contributed an average of 11.0% of Goldman Sachs’ revenues, according to analysis of its earnings releases, compared to 13.8% from its investment banking division. “

Monday, October 18, 2010

Macro-Economic News: Fed's Danger of Leaks With 'QE'

Heard on the Street
Fed's Danger of Leaks With 'QE'
By Kelly Evans
475 words
18 October 2010

This article explains that the Quantitative Easing can possibly cause an export-led growth, if it can be achieved, and that it is likely to come from more capital-intensive than labor-intensive industries. The only way that the export led growth could start is by devaluing the dollar. This will make it more expensive for us to import and also it also can cause other counties to also devalue their currencies as well.

Another point is that the quantitative easing might not be working. Kelly Evans notes that there is a risk that the money being poured into the market may be finding its way to the "gold trap." This is where the money is parked instead of being spend in other assets that may create activity in the economy. 

It is my opinion that this second round of quantitative easing is extremely weak, mainly because it is expected by investors and other countries. Countries are ready and willing to devalue their currencies at will, maybe the only exception is China, and investors are ready to pour their money into gold and other assets that will increase due to quantitative easing. The Fed needs to strike a balance between giving the markets confidence and telling the market what it is going to do.
 

Interested in trading?


Hello Traders,

                We encourage you to join us in our bi-annual Wall Street Club Trading Competition! Using the Wall Street Journal’s “Virtual Stock Exchange”, we are hosting a simulated trading competition that will run between Monday, October 18th and Friday, December 3rd, 2010.  Sign up now and start trading tomorrow Monday 18th. You do not need to be an active Wall Street Club member to participate.

                This competition will give you the opportunity to sharpen your analytical skills, both fundamental and technical, while also giving you the opportunity to discuss and share your trading strategies with members at our weekly Friday meetings. Winners will be awarded at our last meeting of the semester!
 
Game ID: WSC-F10
Password: NVC3125

This would be a good way for us to practice our trading and also to compete and see how well we will do. I already signed up and look forward to seeing who else would want to compete. I would suggest if you are interested to read up on technical analysis to learn how to analyze charts, prices, and volume. I have books if anyone is interested.
 
Adam Camacho

FLP Blog

Hello Everyone,

Welcome to the Financial leadership blog. The intent of this blog is to post up noteworthy news as they come up and comment on the news with either what you are learning or your opinion on the news.

When posting if you can NOTE in the title what kind of news it is. I thought we should separate the news by:

1)Macro-Economic news- News that deals with the US or Global Economy
2) Capital Markets- News on how the Stock Market and Fixed Income markets are doing
3) Industry News- News on a particular industry. Please note what industry
4) Forex/ Currency News- News on currencies and their impacts
5) Company Specific News- News on a particular company. If you are doing analysis on their financial statements please NOTE it in the title

I look forward to the interesting articles everyone is reading!

Adam Camacho